Phillies use long ball vs. D'Backs to stay hot

Baseball Betting Lines

07/27/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ryan Howard finished 2-for-4 with a two- run homer, three RBI and two runs scored as Philadelphia rallied past Arizona, 9-5, in the opener of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park.

Cody Ransom and Jayson Werth also each hit two-run blasts for the Phillies, who set a season-high for consecutive wins with their sixth in a row and have also won nine straight at home.

David Herndon (1-2) gave up two runs and coughed up a lead during the sixth inning in relief of starter Cole Hamels but picked up his first major-league win.

Mark Reynolds homered and drove in a pair, while Adam LaRoche and Stephen Drew knocked in a run apiece for the Diamondbacks, who have dropped five in a row.

Jordan Norberto (0-1) took the loss after being charged with two runs and two hits while not recording an out.

Down 4-3, Arizona struck for two in the sixth off Herndon. A double, walk and Howard throwing error on a fielder's choice loaded the bases with nobody out before a LaRoche sacrifice fly tied the game. Miguel Montero followed with an RBI groundout before a Reynolds groundout ended the threat.

In the home sixth, the Phils responded when Raul Ibanez singled home Shane Victorino before Howard's two-run blast to left-center made it 7-5.

Danys Baez offered a scoreless top of the seventh. Carlos Ruiz singled, was sacrificed to second then scored on Ransom's long two-run shot for a four-run difference during the Phils' turn in the seventh.

Jose Contreras and Ryan Madson locked down the win by holding the D'Backs off the board in the eighth and ninth.

Arizona loaded the bases in the first on a single, walk and hit batter with two outs, and went up 1-0 when Reynolds drew a base on balls.

The Phils broke through in the third. Victorino singled, stole second, but was erased on a fielder's choice. Placido Polanco, who took first on the grounder, went to third on an Ibanez hit and scored on Howard's single. Werth walked to load the bases, and after a Greg Dobbs foul out, Ruiz walked to force in Ibanez.

Reynolds tied the game with a leadoff homer in the fourth, but Hamels left the sacks full by fanning Kelly Johnson swinging. Drew's RBI single put the D'Backs ahead 3-2 in the fifth, but they couldn't tack on more despite loading the bases again.

In the home half, Howard walked with one down and Werth put the Phils back on top with a homer to dead center.

Game Notes

Philadelphia's bats have jumped to life during the streak, scoring 36 times in six games...Werth's fifth-inning blast was his first in 30 games, dating back to June 23 against Cleveland...Phils shortstop Jimmy Rollins did not play due to a bruised left foot suffered on Monday when he fouled a pitch off the foot early in the game...Victorino left the game in the seventh inning with a left oblique strain and will be evaluated on Wednesday...Diamondbacks outfielder Justin Upton left the game in the sixth innings with right hip stiffness...Ibanez went 2-for-4 and scored twice.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.